Auda vs Dinamo Tirana Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 06, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Auda vs Dinamo Tirana
Model pick: Auda (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.73 – 1.68
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Auda | Dinamo Tirana |
|---|
| League position | #3 (43 pts) | #4 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.9 / 1.3 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 55% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
*Auda shown at home, Dinamo Tirana shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Auda — last 5
DWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Dinamo Tirana — last 5
DLWDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Auda (home) | Dinamo Tirana (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-1-4 in 11 (1.9 / 1.3 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 39% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 33% |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.01
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.73 vs 1.68):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Auda or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Dinamo Tirana or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Auda clean sheet | 19% |
| Dinamo Tirana clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Auda is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Auda are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Auda vs Dinamo Tirana — FAQ
Who will win Auda vs Dinamo Tirana?
Our statistical model makes Auda the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Auda 39%, draw 24%, Dinamo Tirana 37%.
Will both teams score in Auda vs Dinamo Tirana?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Auda vs Dinamo Tirana?
Expected goals are 1.73 for Auda and 1.68 for Dinamo Tirana — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Auda vs Dinamo Tirana?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Auda or draw is 62%.