Bodrumspor vs Muglaspor Prediction & Preview
Lig A (Turkey) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIG A (TURKEY)
Bodrumspor vs Muglaspor
Model pick: Bodrumspor (71%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.44 – 0.04
Total goals: 1.5
Over 2.5: 31%
Both teams score: 18%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bodrumspor | Muglaspor |
|---|
| League position | #14 (1 pts) | #16 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
*Bodrumspor shown at home, Muglaspor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bodrumspor — last 5
WWLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 51% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Muglaspor — last 5
LD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bodrumspor (home) | Muglaspor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 51% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 37% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 0% |
| Top scorer | Taulant Seferi (11) | – |
Lig A (Turkey) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Lig A (Turkey) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.44 vs 0.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (33%) |
| Double chance — Bodrumspor or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Muglaspor or draw (X2) | 25% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Bodrumspor clean sheet | 96% |
| Muglaspor clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bodrumspor is the model's most likely outcome at
71%. Bodrumspor are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (69% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Bodrumspor vs Muglaspor — FAQ
Who will win Bodrumspor vs Muglaspor?
Our statistical model makes Bodrumspor the most likely result at 71%. Full probabilities: Bodrumspor 71%, draw 27%, Muglaspor 2%.
Will both teams score in Bodrumspor vs Muglaspor?
The model gives a 18% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Bodrumspor vs Muglaspor?
Expected goals are 1.44 for Bodrumspor and 0.04 for Muglaspor — about 1.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bodrumspor vs Muglaspor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (33%). Double chance for Bodrumspor or draw is 99%.