Botoşani vs Corvinul Prediction & Preview
Liga I (Romania) · Aug 10, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA I (ROMANIA)
Botoşani vs Corvinul
Model pick: Botoşani (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.16 – 1.05
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Botoşani | Corvinul |
|---|
| League position | #14 (2 pts) | #9 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.2 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
*Botoşani shown at home, Corvinul shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Botoşani — last 5
LDDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Corvinul — last 5
WLWLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Botoşani (home) | Corvinul (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 0% |
| Top scorer | Sebastian Mailat (11) | – |
Liga I (Romania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.4
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Liga I (Romania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.16 vs 1.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Botoşani or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Corvinul or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Botoşani clean sheet | 35% |
| Corvinul clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Botoşani is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Botoşani are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Botoşani vs Corvinul — FAQ
Who will win Botoşani vs Corvinul?
Our statistical model makes Botoşani the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Botoşani 40%, draw 29%, Corvinul 31%.
Will both teams score in Botoşani vs Corvinul?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Botoşani vs Corvinul?
Expected goals are 1.16 for Botoşani and 1.05 for Corvinul — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Botoşani vs Corvinul?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Botoşani or draw is 67%.