Bryne vs Haugesund Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Bryne vs Haugesund
Model pick: Haugesund (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.78 – 2.28
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 67%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Bryne | Haugesund |
|---|
| League position | #7 (29 pts) | #3 (40 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 1.6 | 3.1 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 44% | 60% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 0.6 | 4.0 / 2.2 |
*Bryne shown at home, Haugesund shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Bryne — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Haugesund — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Bryne (home) | Haugesund (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-2-3 in 9 (1.7 / 1.6 goals per game) | 6-0-4 in 10 (3.1 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 53% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.11
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.78 vs 2.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — Bryne or draw (1X) | 51% |
| Double chance — Haugesund or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Bryne clean sheet | 10% |
| Haugesund clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Haugesund is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Haugesund edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Bryne vs Haugesund — FAQ
Who will win Bryne vs Haugesund?
Our statistical model makes Haugesund the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Bryne 35%, draw 24%, Haugesund 41%.
Will both teams score in Bryne vs Haugesund?
The model gives a 67% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Bryne vs Haugesund?
Expected goals are 1.78 for Bryne and 2.28 for Haugesund — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Bryne vs Haugesund?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for Bryne or draw is 51%.