Cacereño vs Mirandés Prediction & Preview
Segunda B (Spain) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SEGUNDA B (SPAIN)
Cacereño vs Mirandés
Model pick: Mirandés (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.06 – 1.09
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cacereño | Mirandés |
|---|
| League position | #13 (0 pts) | #12 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.0 |
*Cacereño shown at home, Mirandés shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cacereño — last 5
DWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 46% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Mirandés — last 5
WWDWL
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cacereño (home) | Mirandés (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 46% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 45% |
Segunda B (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.26
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Segunda B (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.06 vs 1.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Cacereño or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Mirandés or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Cacereño clean sheet | 34% |
| Mirandés clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mirandés is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Despite playing away, Mirandés edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Cacereño vs Mirandés — FAQ
Who will win Cacereño vs Mirandés?
Our statistical model makes Mirandés the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: Cacereño 34%, draw 30%, Mirandés 36%.
Will both teams score in Cacereño vs Mirandés?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Cacereño vs Mirandés?
Expected goals are 1.06 for Cacereño and 1.09 for Mirandés — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cacereño vs Mirandés?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Cacereño or draw is 64%.