Carina Gubin vs Sulow Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Carina Gubin vs Sulow
Model pick: Sulow (75%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.8 – 2.92
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Carina Gubin | Sulow |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 2.4 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Carina Gubin shown at home, Sulow shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Carina Gubin — last 5
WLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Sulow — last 5
WWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Carina Gubin (home) | Sulow (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 75% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 63%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.8 vs 2.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Carina Gubin or draw (1X) | 20% |
| Double chance — Sulow or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| Carina Gubin clean sheet | 5% |
| Sulow clean sheet | 45% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sulow is the model's most likely outcome at
75%. Despite playing away, Sulow edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (64% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Carina Gubin vs Sulow — FAQ
Who will win Carina Gubin vs Sulow?
Our statistical model makes Sulow the most likely result at 75%. Full probabilities: Carina Gubin 10%, draw 15%, Sulow 75%.
Will both teams score in Carina Gubin vs Sulow?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Carina Gubin vs Sulow?
Expected goals are 0.8 for Carina Gubin and 2.92 for Sulow — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Carina Gubin vs Sulow?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (10%). Double chance for Carina Gubin or draw is 20%.