Chomutov vs Meteor Prague Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Chomutov vs Meteor Prague
Model pick: Chomutov (75%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.67 – 0.05
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 20%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chomutov | Meteor Prague |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.0 | 2.25 / 1.25 |
*Chomutov shown at home, Meteor Prague shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chomutov — last 5
LLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Meteor Prague — last 5
WWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chomutov (home) | Meteor Prague (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.39
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.67 vs 0.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (30%) |
| Double chance — Chomutov or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Meteor Prague or draw (X2) | 20% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Chomutov clean sheet | 95% |
| Meteor Prague clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chomutov is the model's most likely outcome at
75%. Chomutov are backed at home, where they average 2.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chomutov vs Meteor Prague — FAQ
Who will win Chomutov vs Meteor Prague?
Our statistical model makes Chomutov the most likely result at 75%. Full probabilities: Chomutov 75%, draw 23%, Meteor Prague 2%.
Will both teams score in Chomutov vs Meteor Prague?
The model gives a 20% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chomutov vs Meteor Prague?
Expected goals are 1.67 for Chomutov and 0.05 for Meteor Prague — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chomutov vs Meteor Prague?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (30%). Double chance for Chomutov or draw is 99%.