Colón vs Patronato Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Colón vs Patronato
Model pick: Colón (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.76 – 0.91
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Colón | Patronato |
|---|
| League position | #3 (39 pts) | #17 (24 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 58% | 8% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Colón shown at home, Patronato shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Colón — last 5
WLLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Patronato — last 5
LDLDD
On the road: clean sheet 10% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Colón (home) | Patronato (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 7-4-1 in 12 (1.4 / 0.5 goals per game) | 1-7-4 in 12 (0.5 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 45% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.15
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 21%
Over 2.5: 35%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.76 vs 0.91):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Colón or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Patronato or draw (X2) | 43% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Colón clean sheet | 40% |
| Patronato clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Colón is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Colón are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Colón vs Patronato — FAQ
Who will win Colón vs Patronato?
Our statistical model makes Colón the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Colón 54%, draw 28%, Patronato 18%.
Will both teams score in Colón vs Patronato?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Colón vs Patronato?
Expected goals are 1.76 for Colón and 0.91 for Patronato — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Colón vs Patronato?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Colón or draw is 81%.