Corvinul vs CFR Cluj Prediction & Preview
Liga I (Romania) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA I (ROMANIA)
Corvinul vs CFR Cluj
Model pick: CFR Cluj (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.85 – 0.92
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Corvinul | CFR Cluj |
|---|
| League position | #9 (5 pts) | #13 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.5 | 1.0 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 0.8 | 2.0 / 1.8 |
*Corvinul shown at home, CFR Cluj shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Corvinul — last 5
LWLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
CFR Cluj — last 5
DWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Corvinul (home) | CFR Cluj (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (2.0 / 0.5 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (1.0 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 42% |
| Top scorer | – | Jovo Lukic (18) |
Liga I (Romania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.39
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Liga I (Romania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.85 vs 0.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Corvinul or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — CFR Cluj or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 67% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Corvinul clean sheet | 40% |
| CFR Cluj clean sheet | 43% |
🎯 Our Verdict
CFR Cluj is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, CFR Cluj edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Corvinul vs CFR Cluj — FAQ
Who will win Corvinul vs CFR Cluj?
Our statistical model makes CFR Cluj the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Corvinul 31%, draw 30%, CFR Cluj 39%.
Will both teams score in Corvinul vs CFR Cluj?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Corvinul vs CFR Cluj?
Expected goals are 0.85 for Corvinul and 0.92 for CFR Cluj — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Corvinul vs CFR Cluj?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (17%). Double chance for Corvinul or draw is 65%.