Elana Toruń vs Wda Swiecie Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Elana Toruń vs Wda Swiecie
Model pick: Wda Swiecie (66%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.86 – 2.39
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Elana Toruń | Wda Swiecie |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.8 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Elana Toruń shown at home, Wda Swiecie shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Elana Toruń — last 5
DWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 14% of the time; 73% of home games go over 2.5.
Wda Swiecie — last 5
WDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Elana Toruń (home) | Wda Swiecie (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 14% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 77% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 25% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.86 vs 2.39):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (11%) |
| Double chance — Elana Toruń or draw (1X) | 29% |
| Double chance — Wda Swiecie or draw (X2) | 88% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Elana Toruń clean sheet | 9% |
| Wda Swiecie clean sheet | 42% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wda Swiecie is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Despite playing away, Wda Swiecie edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Elana Toruń vs Wda Swiecie — FAQ
Who will win Elana Toruń vs Wda Swiecie?
Our statistical model makes Wda Swiecie the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Elana Toruń 14%, draw 20%, Wda Swiecie 66%.
Will both teams score in Elana Toruń vs Wda Swiecie?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Elana Toruń vs Wda Swiecie?
Expected goals are 0.86 for Elana Toruń and 2.39 for Wda Swiecie — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Elana Toruń vs Wda Swiecie?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (11%). Double chance for Elana Toruń or draw is 29%.