Fortaleza vs Operário PR Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Brazil) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 22:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (BRAZIL)
Fortaleza vs Operário PR
Model pick: Fortaleza (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.56 – 0.6
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fortaleza | Operário PR |
|---|
| League position | #5 (40 pts) | #8 (36 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 73% | 36% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
*Fortaleza shown at home, Operário PR shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fortaleza — last 5
WDDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 43% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Operário PR — last 5
LLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 36% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fortaleza (home) | Operário PR (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 8-2-1 in 11 (1.7 / 0.8 goals per game) | 4-2-5 in 11 (1.2 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 43% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 36% |
| Top scorer | – | Boschilia (9) |
Serie B (Brazil) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.17
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Serie B (Brazil) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.56 vs 0.6):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Fortaleza or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — Operário PR or draw (X2) | 39% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Fortaleza clean sheet | 55% |
| Operário PR clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fortaleza is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Fortaleza are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fortaleza vs Operário PR — FAQ
Who will win Fortaleza vs Operário PR?
Our statistical model makes Fortaleza the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Fortaleza 56%, draw 27%, Operário PR 18%.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza vs Operário PR?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Fortaleza vs Operário PR?
Expected goals are 1.56 for Fortaleza and 0.6 for Operário PR — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fortaleza vs Operário PR?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (18%). Double chance for Fortaleza or draw is 86%.