Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Stuttgart II Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (GERMANY)
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Stuttgart II
Model pick: Stuttgart II (61%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.55 – 1.69
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Stuttgart II |
|---|
| League position | #17 (37 pts) | #11 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 3.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.6 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
*Fortuna Dusseldorf shown at home, Stuttgart II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fortuna Dusseldorf — last 5
WLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Stuttgart II — last 5
WWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fortuna Dusseldorf (home) | Stuttgart II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 59% |
| Top scorer | – | Deniz Zeitler (11) |
3 Liga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.9
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 58%
Use these 3 Liga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.55 vs 1.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (18%) |
| Double chance — Fortuna Dusseldorf or draw (1X) | 35% |
| Double chance — Stuttgart II or draw (X2) | 88% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf clean sheet | 18% |
| Stuttgart II clean sheet | 58% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stuttgart II is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Despite playing away, Stuttgart II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Stuttgart II — FAQ
Who will win Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Stuttgart II?
Our statistical model makes Stuttgart II the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Fortuna Dusseldorf 14%, draw 25%, Stuttgart II 61%.
Will both teams score in Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Stuttgart II?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Stuttgart II?
Expected goals are 0.55 for Fortuna Dusseldorf and 1.69 for Stuttgart II — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Stuttgart II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (18%). Double chance for Fortuna Dusseldorf or draw is 35%.