Górnik Polkowice vs Legnica II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Górnik Polkowice vs Legnica II
Model pick: Legnica II (80%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.9 – 6.72
Total goals: 9.6
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams score: 73%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Górnik Polkowice | Legnica II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 2.2 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
*Górnik Polkowice shown at home, Legnica II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Górnik Polkowice — last 5
WWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 66% of home games go over 2.5.
Legnica II — last 5
WWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Górnik Polkowice (home) | Legnica II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 75% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.9 vs 6.72):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-6 (5%) |
| Double chance — Górnik Polkowice or draw (1X) | 18% |
| Double chance — Legnica II or draw (X2) | 90% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Górnik Polkowice clean sheet | 0% |
| Legnica II clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Legnica II is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. Despite playing away, Legnica II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 9.6, this shapes as an open game (80% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Górnik Polkowice vs Legnica II — FAQ
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Legnica II?
Our statistical model makes Legnica II the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: Górnik Polkowice 11%, draw 9%, Legnica II 80%.
Will both teams score in Górnik Polkowice vs Legnica II?
The model gives a 73% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Górnik Polkowice vs Legnica II?
Expected goals are 2.9 for Górnik Polkowice and 6.72 for Legnica II — about 9.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Górnik Polkowice vs Legnica II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-6 (5%). Double chance for Górnik Polkowice or draw is 18%.