Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Sep 01, 2026 · kickoff 00:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario
Model pick: Gimnasia Jujuy (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.31 – 1.13
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Gimnasia Jujuy | Agropecuario |
|---|
| League position | #2 (45 pts) | #15 (29 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.9 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 77% | 8% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Gimnasia Jujuy shown at home, Agropecuario shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Gimnasia Jujuy — last 5
LLLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
Agropecuario — last 5
WLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Gimnasia Jujuy (home) | Agropecuario (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 10-2-1 in 13 (1.9 / 0.7 goals per game) | 1-4-8 in 13 (0.6 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 25% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.14
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 37%
BTTS: 44%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.31 vs 1.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Gimnasia Jujuy or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Agropecuario or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Gimnasia Jujuy clean sheet | 32% |
| Agropecuario clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gimnasia Jujuy is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Gimnasia Jujuy are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario — FAQ
Who will win Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario?
Our statistical model makes Gimnasia Jujuy the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Gimnasia Jujuy 40%, draw 28%, Agropecuario 32%.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario?
Expected goals are 1.31 for Gimnasia Jujuy and 1.13 for Agropecuario — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Gimnasia Jujuy or draw is 68%.