Hilden vs Oberhausen Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Hilden vs Oberhausen
Model pick: Oberhausen (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.38 – 0.82
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 25%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hilden | Oberhausen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
*Hilden shown at home, Oberhausen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hilden — last 5
DDWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 75% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
Oberhausen — last 5
WDWLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hilden (home) | Oberhausen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 75% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.25
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.38 vs 0.82):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (30%) |
| Double chance — Hilden or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Oberhausen or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 60% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Hilden clean sheet | 44% |
| Oberhausen clean sheet | 68% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Oberhausen is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Oberhausen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (75% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hilden vs Oberhausen — FAQ
Who will win Hilden vs Oberhausen?
Our statistical model makes Oberhausen the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Hilden 18%, draw 40%, Oberhausen 42%.
Will both teams score in Hilden vs Oberhausen?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hilden vs Oberhausen?
Expected goals are 0.38 for Hilden and 0.82 for Oberhausen — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hilden vs Oberhausen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (30%). Double chance for Hilden or draw is 56%.