Horni Redice vs Dukla Praha Prediction & Preview
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECHIA CUP (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Horni Redice vs Dukla Praha
Model pick: Draw (64%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.17 – 0.23
Total goals: 0.4
Over 2.5: 6%
Both teams score: 18%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Horni Redice | Dukla Praha |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #7 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 2.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Horni Redice shown at home, Dukla Praha shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Horni Redice — last 5
DWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Dukla Praha — last 5
WDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Horni Redice (home) | Dukla Praha (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-1-0 in 1 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 49% |
| Top scorer | – | Michal Kroupa (2) |
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.95
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 66%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.17 vs 0.23):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (67%) |
| Double chance — Horni Redice or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Dukla Praha or draw (X2) | 87% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 30% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Horni Redice clean sheet | 79% |
| Dukla Praha clean sheet | 84% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (94% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Horni Redice vs Dukla Praha — FAQ
Who will win Horni Redice vs Dukla Praha?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Horni Redice 16%, draw 64%, Dukla Praha 20%.
Will both teams score in Horni Redice vs Dukla Praha?
The model gives a 18% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Horni Redice vs Dukla Praha?
Expected goals are 0.17 for Horni Redice and 0.23 for Dukla Praha — about 0.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Horni Redice vs Dukla Praha?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (67%). Double chance for Horni Redice or draw is 82%.