KÍ vs HB Prediction & Preview
Formuladeildin (Faroeislands) · Aug 10, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FORMULADEILDIN (FAROEISLANDS)
KÍ vs HB
Model pick: KÍ (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.72 – 0.89
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| KÍ | HB |
|---|
| League position | #1 (34 pts) | #5 (27 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 62% | 56% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*KÍ shown at home, HB shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
KÍ — last 5
WWDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 52% of the time; 64% of home games go over 2.5.
HB — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | KÍ (home) | HB (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-2-1 in 8 (1.8 / 0.6 goals per game) | 5-0-4 in 9 (1.8 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 52% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 59% |
Formuladeildin (Faroeislands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.27
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Formuladeildin (Faroeislands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.72 vs 0.89):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — KÍ or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — HB or draw (X2) | 43% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| KÍ clean sheet | 41% |
| HB clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
KÍ is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. KÍ are backed at home, where they average 2.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ KÍ vs HB — FAQ
Who will win KÍ vs HB?
Our statistical model makes KÍ the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: KÍ 54%, draw 25%, HB 21%.
Will both teams score in KÍ vs HB?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in KÍ vs HB?
Expected goals are 1.72 for KÍ and 0.89 for HB — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in KÍ vs HB?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for KÍ or draw is 81%.