Kitzbuhel vs SC Imst Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Kitzbuhel vs SC Imst
Model pick: SC Imst (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.21 – 1.17
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 29%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kitzbuhel | SC Imst |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 0.2 |
*Kitzbuhel shown at home, SC Imst shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kitzbuhel — last 5
WLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
SC Imst — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 75% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kitzbuhel (home) | SC Imst (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 25% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.21 vs 1.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (29%) |
| Double chance — Kitzbuhel or draw (1X) | 38% |
| Double chance — SC Imst or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Kitzbuhel clean sheet | 31% |
| SC Imst clean sheet | 81% |
🎯 Our Verdict
SC Imst is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Despite playing away, SC Imst edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (71% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kitzbuhel vs SC Imst — FAQ
Who will win Kitzbuhel vs SC Imst?
Our statistical model makes SC Imst the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Kitzbuhel 9%, draw 33%, SC Imst 58%.
Will both teams score in Kitzbuhel vs SC Imst?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kitzbuhel vs SC Imst?
Expected goals are 0.21 for Kitzbuhel and 1.17 for SC Imst — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kitzbuhel vs SC Imst?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (29%). Double chance for Kitzbuhel or draw is 38%.