Partizan vs OFK Beograd Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Partizan vs OFK Beograd
Model pick: Partizan (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.09 – 1.02
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Partizan | OFK Beograd |
|---|
| League position | #12 (4 pts) | #8 (8 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
*Partizan shown at home, OFK Beograd shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Partizan — last 5
WWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 48% of the time; 62% of home games go over 2.5.
OFK Beograd — last 5
LWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Partizan (home) | OFK Beograd (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 1-0-2 in 3 (1.3 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 48% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 54% |
| Top scorer | – | Milan Rodic (3) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.09 vs 1.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Partizan or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — OFK Beograd or draw (X2) | 38% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Partizan clean sheet | 36% |
| OFK Beograd clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Partizan is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Partizan are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Partizan vs OFK Beograd — FAQ
Who will win Partizan vs OFK Beograd?
Our statistical model makes Partizan the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Partizan 59%, draw 22%, OFK Beograd 19%.
Will both teams score in Partizan vs OFK Beograd?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Partizan vs OFK Beograd?
Expected goals are 2.09 for Partizan and 1.02 for OFK Beograd — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Partizan vs OFK Beograd?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (10%). Double chance for Partizan or draw is 82%.