Radnički Kragujevac vs Železničar Pančevo Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Radnički Kragujevac vs Železničar Pančevo
Model pick: Radnički Kragujevac (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.36 – 1.14
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Radnički Kragujevac | Železničar Pančevo |
|---|
| League position | #12 (0 pts) | #3 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*Radnički Kragujevac shown at home, Železničar Pančevo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Radnički Kragujevac — last 5
DLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Železničar Pančevo — last 5
DLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Radnički Kragujevac (home) | Železničar Pančevo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 51% |
| Top scorer | Ester Sokler (10) | Sylvester Jasper (5) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.36 vs 1.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Radnički Kragujevac or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Železničar Pančevo or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Radnički Kragujevac clean sheet | 32% |
| Železničar Pančevo clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Radnički Kragujevac is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Radnički Kragujevac are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Radnički Kragujevac vs Železničar Pančevo — FAQ
Who will win Radnički Kragujevac vs Železničar Pančevo?
Our statistical model makes Radnički Kragujevac the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Radnički Kragujevac 40%, draw 28%, Železničar Pančevo 32%.
Will both teams score in Radnički Kragujevac vs Železničar Pančevo?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Radnički Kragujevac vs Železničar Pančevo?
Expected goals are 1.36 for Radnički Kragujevac and 1.14 for Železničar Pančevo — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Radnički Kragujevac vs Železničar Pančevo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Radnički Kragujevac or draw is 69%.