Santamarina vs Fundacion Amigos Prediction & Preview
Argentino A (Argentina) · Aug 17, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO A (ARGENTINA)
Santamarina vs Fundacion Amigos
Model pick: Fundacion Amigos (68%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.11 – 1.44
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 32%
Both teams score: 26%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Santamarina | Fundacion Amigos |
|---|
| League position | #8 (13 pts) | #5 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 14% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.25 / 2.25 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
*Santamarina shown at home, Fundacion Amigos shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Santamarina — last 5
LLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Fundacion Amigos — last 5
WDWLD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Santamarina (home) | Fundacion Amigos (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-3-3 in 8 (0.6 / 0.8 goals per game) | 1-4-2 in 7 (0.7 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 33% |
Argentino A (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 34%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 39%
Use these Argentino A (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.11 vs 1.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (31%) |
| Double chance — Santamarina or draw (1X) | 27% |
| Double chance — Fundacion Amigos or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 7% / 93% |
| Santamarina clean sheet | 24% |
| Fundacion Amigos clean sheet | 90% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fundacion Amigos is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. Despite playing away, Fundacion Amigos edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (68% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Santamarina vs Fundacion Amigos — FAQ
Who will win Santamarina vs Fundacion Amigos?
Our statistical model makes Fundacion Amigos the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Santamarina 4%, draw 28%, Fundacion Amigos 68%.
Will both teams score in Santamarina vs Fundacion Amigos?
The model gives a 26% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Santamarina vs Fundacion Amigos?
Expected goals are 0.11 for Santamarina and 1.44 for Fundacion Amigos — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Santamarina vs Fundacion Amigos?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (31%). Double chance for Santamarina or draw is 27%.