Scafatese vs Picerno Prediction & Preview
Serie C - Group A (Italy) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE C - GROUP A (ITALY)
Scafatese vs Picerno
Model pick: Scafatese (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.08 – 2.51
Total goals: 5.6
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams score: 73%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Scafatese | Picerno |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
*Scafatese shown at home, Picerno shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Scafatese — last 5
LWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Picerno — last 5
WLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 37% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Scafatese (home) | Picerno (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 37% |
Serie C - Group A (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.33
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Serie C - Group A (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.08 vs 2.51):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — Scafatese or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Picerno or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Scafatese clean sheet | 8% |
| Picerno clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Scafatese is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Scafatese are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.6, this shapes as an open game (80% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Scafatese vs Picerno — FAQ
Who will win Scafatese vs Picerno?
Our statistical model makes Scafatese the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Scafatese 48%, draw 19%, Picerno 33%.
Will both teams score in Scafatese vs Picerno?
The model gives a 73% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Scafatese vs Picerno?
Expected goals are 3.08 for Scafatese and 2.51 for Picerno — about 5.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Scafatese vs Picerno?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-2 (6%). Double chance for Scafatese or draw is 68%.