SG Wattenscheid vs Schalke II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
SG Wattenscheid vs Schalke II
Model pick: Schalke II (86%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.3 – 2.98
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SG Wattenscheid | Schalke II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 3.2 |
*SG Wattenscheid shown at home, Schalke II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SG Wattenscheid — last 5
WLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Schalke II — last 5
LLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SG Wattenscheid (home) | Schalke II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.3 vs 2.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (17%) |
| Double chance — SG Wattenscheid or draw (1X) | 10% |
| Double chance — Schalke II or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| SG Wattenscheid clean sheet | 5% |
| Schalke II clean sheet | 74% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Schalke II is the model's most likely outcome at
86%. Despite playing away, Schalke II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SG Wattenscheid vs Schalke II — FAQ
Who will win SG Wattenscheid vs Schalke II?
Our statistical model makes Schalke II the most likely result at 86%. Full probabilities: SG Wattenscheid 3%, draw 11%, Schalke II 86%.
Will both teams score in SG Wattenscheid vs Schalke II?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in SG Wattenscheid vs Schalke II?
Expected goals are 0.3 for SG Wattenscheid and 2.98 for Schalke II — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SG Wattenscheid vs Schalke II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (17%). Double chance for SG Wattenscheid or draw is 10%.