T. Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
T. Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza
Model pick: T. Mazowiecki (99%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 12.23 – 1.56
Total goals: 13.8
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| T. Mazowiecki | LKS Lomza |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.4 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*T. Mazowiecki shown at home, LKS Lomza shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
T. Mazowiecki — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
LKS Lomza — last 5
LLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | T. Mazowiecki (home) | LKS Lomza (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (12.23 vs 1.56):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — T. Mazowiecki or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — LKS Lomza or draw (X2) | 1% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| T. Mazowiecki clean sheet | 21% |
| LKS Lomza clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
T. Mazowiecki is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. T. Mazowiecki are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ T. Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza — FAQ
Who will win T. Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza?
Our statistical model makes T. Mazowiecki the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: T. Mazowiecki 99%, draw 1%, LKS Lomza 0%.
Will both teams score in T. Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in T. Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza?
Expected goals are 12.23 for T. Mazowiecki and 1.56 for LKS Lomza — about 13.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in T. Mazowiecki vs LKS Lomza?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-1 (14%). Double chance for T. Mazowiecki or draw is 100%.