Temperley vs Colegiales Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Temperley vs Colegiales
Model pick: Temperley (65%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.68 – 0.39
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Temperley | Colegiales |
|---|
| League position | #2 (46 pts) | #10 (37 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 1.2 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 62% | 8% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
*Temperley shown at home, Colegiales shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Temperley — last 5
LLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Colegiales — last 5
DLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 36% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Temperley (home) | Colegiales (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 8-3-2 in 13 (1.7 / 1.2 goals per game) | 1-3-9 in 13 (0.3 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 44% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.08
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 19%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 42%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.68 vs 0.39):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Temperley or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Colegiales or draw (X2) | 30% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Temperley clean sheet | 68% |
| Colegiales clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Temperley is the model's most likely outcome at
65%. Temperley are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Temperley vs Colegiales — FAQ
Who will win Temperley vs Colegiales?
Our statistical model makes Temperley the most likely result at 65%. Full probabilities: Temperley 65%, draw 25%, Colegiales 10%.
Will both teams score in Temperley vs Colegiales?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Temperley vs Colegiales?
Expected goals are 1.68 for Temperley and 0.39 for Colegiales — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Temperley vs Colegiales?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (21%). Double chance for Temperley or draw is 92%.