Teutonia Ottensen vs Harksheide Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Teutonia Ottensen vs Harksheide
Model pick: Harksheide (77%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.2 – 3.75
Total goals: 5.0
Over 2.5: 75%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Teutonia Ottensen | Harksheide |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 2.67 | 1.0 / 2.25 |
*Teutonia Ottensen shown at home, Harksheide shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Teutonia Ottensen — last 5
WLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Harksheide — last 5
LDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Teutonia Ottensen (home) | Harksheide (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.54
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.2 vs 3.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-3 (8%) |
| Double chance — Teutonia Ottensen or draw (1X) | 18% |
| Double chance — Harksheide or draw (X2) | 92% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 90% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Teutonia Ottensen clean sheet | 2% |
| Harksheide clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Harksheide is the model's most likely outcome at
77%. Despite playing away, Harksheide edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.0, this shapes as an open game (75% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Teutonia Ottensen vs Harksheide — FAQ
Who will win Teutonia Ottensen vs Harksheide?
Our statistical model makes Harksheide the most likely result at 77%. Full probabilities: Teutonia Ottensen 10%, draw 13%, Harksheide 77%.
Will both teams score in Teutonia Ottensen vs Harksheide?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Teutonia Ottensen vs Harksheide?
Expected goals are 1.2 for Teutonia Ottensen and 3.75 for Harksheide — about 5.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Teutonia Ottensen vs Harksheide?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-3 (8%). Double chance for Teutonia Ottensen or draw is 18%.