Tomasov vs I. Bratislava Prediction & Preview
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SLOVAK CUP (SLOVAKIA)
Tomasov vs I. Bratislava
Model pick: I. Bratislava (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.69 – 2.02
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tomasov | I. Bratislava |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #9 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
*Tomasov shown at home, I. Bratislava shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tomasov — last 5
W
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
I. Bratislava — last 5
LWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 80% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tomasov (home) | I. Bratislava (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 1-0-2 in 3 (1.7 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 80% |
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.1
Home wins: 13%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 87%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Slovak Cup (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.69 vs 2.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — Tomasov or draw (1X) | 54% |
| Double chance — I. Bratislava or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| Tomasov clean sheet | 13% |
| I. Bratislava clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
I. Bratislava is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Despite playing away, I. Bratislava edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tomasov vs I. Bratislava — FAQ
Who will win Tomasov vs I. Bratislava?
Our statistical model makes I. Bratislava the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Tomasov 33%, draw 23%, I. Bratislava 44%.
Will both teams score in Tomasov vs I. Bratislava?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Tomasov vs I. Bratislava?
Expected goals are 1.69 for Tomasov and 2.02 for I. Bratislava — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tomasov vs I. Bratislava?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for Tomasov or draw is 54%.