Vojvodina vs Radnik Surdulica Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Vojvodina vs Radnik Surdulica
Model pick: Vojvodina (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.76 – 0.78
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Vojvodina | Radnik Surdulica |
|---|
| League position | #3 (6 pts) | #11 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.2 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
*Vojvodina shown at home, Radnik Surdulica shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Vojvodina — last 5
WLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 42% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Radnik Surdulica — last 5
DLWDD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Vojvodina (home) | Radnik Surdulica (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-0 in 2 (3.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 42% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 41% |
| Top scorer | Aleksa Vukanovic (7) | Luka Zoric (3) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.76 vs 0.78):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Vojvodina or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — Radnik Surdulica or draw (X2) | 39% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Vojvodina clean sheet | 46% |
| Radnik Surdulica clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vojvodina is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Vojvodina are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Vojvodina vs Radnik Surdulica — FAQ
Who will win Vojvodina vs Radnik Surdulica?
Our statistical model makes Vojvodina the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Vojvodina 62%, draw 22%, Radnik Surdulica 16%.
Will both teams score in Vojvodina vs Radnik Surdulica?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Vojvodina vs Radnik Surdulica?
Expected goals are 1.76 for Vojvodina and 0.78 for Radnik Surdulica — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Vojvodina vs Radnik Surdulica?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Vojvodina or draw is 84%.