Yantra Gabrovo vs Marek Prediction & Preview
B PFG (Bulgaria) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
B PFG (BULGARIA)
Yantra Gabrovo vs Marek
Model pick: Draw (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.48 – 0.52
Total goals: 1.0
Over 2.5: 21%
Both teams score: 33%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Yantra Gabrovo | Marek |
|---|
| League position | #4 (13 pts) | #9 (10 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.0 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 75% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 0.6 | 1.0 / 0.8 |
*Yantra Gabrovo shown at home, Marek shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Yantra Gabrovo — last 5
WWWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 29% of home games go over 2.5.
Marek — last 5
LLWDW
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Yantra Gabrovo (home) | Marek (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-0-1 in 4 (1.5 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-1-3 in 5 (0.4 / 0.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 40% |
B PFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.56
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 46%
Use these B PFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.48 vs 0.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (37%) |
| Double chance — Yantra Gabrovo or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Marek or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 53% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Yantra Gabrovo clean sheet | 59% |
| Marek clean sheet | 62% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (79% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Yantra Gabrovo vs Marek — FAQ
Who will win Yantra Gabrovo vs Marek?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Yantra Gabrovo 27%, draw 44%, Marek 29%.
Will both teams score in Yantra Gabrovo vs Marek?
The model gives a 33% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Yantra Gabrovo vs Marek?
Expected goals are 0.48 for Yantra Gabrovo and 0.52 for Marek — about 1.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Yantra Gabrovo vs Marek?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (37%). Double chance for Yantra Gabrovo or draw is 72%.