2 de Mayo vs Club Guaraní Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Paraguay) · Aug 25, 2026 · kickoff 21:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (PARAGUAY)
2 de Mayo vs Club Guaraní
Model pick: Club Guaraní (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.0 – 1.07
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| 2 de Mayo | Club Guaraní |
|---|
| League position | #8 (138 pts) | #3 (178 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
*2 de Mayo shown at home, Club Guaraní shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
2 de Mayo — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 28% of home games go over 2.5.
Club Guaraní — last 5
WWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 34% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | 2 de Mayo (home) | Club Guaraní (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 34% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | 42% |
| Top scorer | Wilson Ayala (1) | – |
Primera Division (Paraguay) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.52
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Primera Division (Paraguay) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.0 vs 1.07):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — 2 de Mayo or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Club Guaraní or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| 2 de Mayo clean sheet | 34% |
| Club Guaraní clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Club Guaraní is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Despite playing away, Club Guaraní edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ 2 de Mayo vs Club Guaraní — FAQ
Who will win 2 de Mayo vs Club Guaraní?
Our statistical model makes Club Guaraní the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: 2 de Mayo 33%, draw 31%, Club Guaraní 36%.
Will both teams score in 2 de Mayo vs Club Guaraní?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in 2 de Mayo vs Club Guaraní?
Expected goals are 1.0 for 2 de Mayo and 1.07 for Club Guaraní — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in 2 de Mayo vs Club Guaraní?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for 2 de Mayo or draw is 63%.