2 de Mayo vs Olimpia Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Paraguay) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 21:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (PARAGUAY)
2 de Mayo vs Olimpia
Model pick: Olimpia (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.08 – 1.22
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| 2 de Mayo | Olimpia |
|---|
| League position | #8 (138 pts) | #2 (188 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
*2 de Mayo shown at home, Olimpia shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
2 de Mayo — last 5
LDWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 28% of home games go over 2.5.
Olimpia — last 5
DLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 32% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | 2 de Mayo (home) | Olimpia (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | 47% |
| Top scorer | Wilson Ayala (1) | Lorenzo Melgarejo (4) |
Primera Division (Paraguay) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.52
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Primera Division (Paraguay) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.08 vs 1.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — 2 de Mayo or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Olimpia or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| 2 de Mayo clean sheet | 30% |
| Olimpia clean sheet | 34% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Olimpia is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Olimpia edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ 2 de Mayo vs Olimpia — FAQ
Who will win 2 de Mayo vs Olimpia?
Our statistical model makes Olimpia the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: 2 de Mayo 32%, draw 29%, Olimpia 38%.
Will both teams score in 2 de Mayo vs Olimpia?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in 2 de Mayo vs Olimpia?
Expected goals are 1.08 for 2 de Mayo and 1.22 for Olimpia — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in 2 de Mayo vs Olimpia?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for 2 de Mayo or draw is 61%.