A. Salzburg vs First Vienna Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
A. Salzburg vs First Vienna
Model pick: First Vienna (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.06 – 1.1
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| A. Salzburg | First Vienna |
|---|
| League position | #5 (3 pts) | #3 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 0.8 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*A. Salzburg shown at home, First Vienna shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
A. Salzburg — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
First Vienna — last 5
WDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 41% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | A. Salzburg (home) | First Vienna (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 41% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 45% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.06 vs 1.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — A. Salzburg or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — First Vienna or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| A. Salzburg clean sheet | 33% |
| First Vienna clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
First Vienna is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Despite playing away, First Vienna edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ A. Salzburg vs First Vienna — FAQ
Who will win A. Salzburg vs First Vienna?
Our statistical model makes First Vienna the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: A. Salzburg 34%, draw 30%, First Vienna 36%.
Will both teams score in A. Salzburg vs First Vienna?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in A. Salzburg vs First Vienna?
Expected goals are 1.06 for A. Salzburg and 1.1 for First Vienna — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in A. Salzburg vs First Vienna?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for A. Salzburg or draw is 64%.