Aalesund 2 vs Nardo Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Aalesund 2 vs Nardo
Model pick: Aalesund 2 (58%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.09 – 1.0
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Aalesund 2 | Nardo |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.25 / 1.75 | 1.5 / 2.25 |
*Aalesund 2 shown at home, Nardo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Aalesund 2 — last 5
WLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Nardo — last 5
LWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Aalesund 2 (home) | Nardo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 68%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.09 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Aalesund 2 or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Nardo or draw (X2) | 38% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Aalesund 2 clean sheet | 37% |
| Nardo clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Aalesund 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Aalesund 2 are backed at home, where they average 3.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Aalesund 2 vs Nardo — FAQ
Who will win Aalesund 2 vs Nardo?
Our statistical model makes Aalesund 2 the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Aalesund 2 58%, draw 22%, Nardo 19%.
Will both teams score in Aalesund 2 vs Nardo?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Aalesund 2 vs Nardo?
Expected goals are 2.09 for Aalesund 2 and 1.0 for Nardo — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Aalesund 2 vs Nardo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for Aalesund 2 or draw is 83%.