ABC vs Uberlandia Prediction & Preview
Serie D (Brazil) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE D (BRAZIL)
ABC vs Uberlandia
Model pick: Draw (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.17 – 0.36
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 9%
Both teams score: 21%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| ABC | Uberlandia |
|---|
| League position | #2 (15 pts) | #1 (18 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
*ABC shown at home, Uberlandia shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
ABC — last 5
DWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 34% of home games go over 2.5.
Uberlandia — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | ABC (home) | Uberlandia (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-0 in 4 (2.5 / 0.8 goals per game) | 3-2-0 in 5 (1.2 / 0.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 39% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 0% |
Serie D (Brazil) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.36
Home wins: 58%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 19%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 44%
Use these Serie D (Brazil) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.17 vs 0.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (59%) |
| Double chance — ABC or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Uberlandia or draw (X2) | 89% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 37% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| ABC clean sheet | 70% |
| Uberlandia clean sheet | 84% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (91% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ ABC vs Uberlandia — FAQ
Who will win ABC vs Uberlandia?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: ABC 14%, draw 58%, Uberlandia 28%.
Will both teams score in ABC vs Uberlandia?
The model gives a 21% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in ABC vs Uberlandia?
Expected goals are 0.17 for ABC and 0.36 for Uberlandia — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in ABC vs Uberlandia?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (59%). Double chance for ABC or draw is 74%.