Acassuso vs San Telmo Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Acassuso vs San Telmo
Model pick: Acassuso (83%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.92 – 0.91
Total goals: 4.8
Over 2.5: 74%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Acassuso | San Telmo |
|---|
| League position | #18 (22 pts) | #16 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 36% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
*Acassuso shown at home, San Telmo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Acassuso — last 5
LDDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 31% of home games go over 2.5.
San Telmo — last 5
LLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 34% of the time; 32% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Acassuso (home) | San Telmo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-3-4 in 11 (0.9 / 0.9 goals per game) | 0-6-6 in 12 (0.5 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 34% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 32% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.11
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 18%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 44%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.92 vs 0.91):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (8%) |
| Double chance — Acassuso or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — San Telmo or draw (X2) | 12% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Acassuso clean sheet | 40% |
| San Telmo clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Acassuso is the model's most likely outcome at
83%. Acassuso are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.8, this shapes as an open game (74% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Acassuso vs San Telmo — FAQ
Who will win Acassuso vs San Telmo?
Our statistical model makes Acassuso the most likely result at 83%. Full probabilities: Acassuso 83%, draw 10%, San Telmo 6%.
Will both teams score in Acassuso vs San Telmo?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Acassuso vs San Telmo?
Expected goals are 3.92 for Acassuso and 0.91 for San Telmo — about 4.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Acassuso vs San Telmo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (8%). Double chance for Acassuso or draw is 96%.