Adjud vs Sporting Liesti Prediction & Preview
Romania Cup · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ROMANIA CUP
Adjud vs Sporting Liesti
Model pick: Sporting Liesti (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.5 – 2.31
Total goals: 3.8
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Adjud | Sporting Liesti |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.5 / 0.5 | 4.0 / 2.0 |
*Adjud shown at home, Sporting Liesti shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Adjud — last 5
WW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Sporting Liesti — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Adjud (home) | Sporting Liesti (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Romania Cup — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.89
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 10%
Away wins: 49%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Romania Cup averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.5 vs 2.31):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (9%) |
| Double chance — Adjud or draw (1X) | 44% |
| Double chance — Sporting Liesti or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Adjud clean sheet | 10% |
| Sporting Liesti clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sporting Liesti is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Despite playing away, Sporting Liesti edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.8, this shapes as an open game (64% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Adjud vs Sporting Liesti — FAQ
Who will win Adjud vs Sporting Liesti?
Our statistical model makes Sporting Liesti the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Adjud 26%, draw 22%, Sporting Liesti 52%.
Will both teams score in Adjud vs Sporting Liesti?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Adjud vs Sporting Liesti?
Expected goals are 1.5 for Adjud and 2.31 for Sporting Liesti — about 3.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Adjud vs Sporting Liesti?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (9%). Double chance for Adjud or draw is 44%.