Admira vs First Vienna Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Admira vs First Vienna
Model pick: Admira (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.28 – 0.99
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Admira | First Vienna |
|---|
| League position | #11 (3 pts) | #10 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*Admira shown at home, First Vienna shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Admira — last 5
DLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
First Vienna — last 5
DLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Admira (home) | First Vienna (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 46% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.28 vs 0.99):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Admira or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — First Vienna or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Admira clean sheet | 37% |
| First Vienna clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Admira is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Admira are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Admira vs First Vienna — FAQ
Who will win Admira vs First Vienna?
Our statistical model makes Admira the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Admira 42%, draw 29%, First Vienna 29%.
Will both teams score in Admira vs First Vienna?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Admira vs First Vienna?
Expected goals are 1.28 for Admira and 0.99 for First Vienna — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Admira vs First Vienna?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Admira or draw is 71%.