Admira vs Rapid Wien II Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Admira vs Rapid Wien II
Model pick: Admira (57%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.01 – 0.97
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Admira | Rapid Wien II |
|---|
| League position | #1 (0 pts) | #6 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 3.6 | 2.8 / 1.0 |
*Admira shown at home, Rapid Wien II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Admira — last 5
LLWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Rapid Wien II — last 5
WWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 10% of the time; 68% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Admira (home) | Rapid Wien II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 68% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.01 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Admira or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Rapid Wien II or draw (X2) | 39% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Admira clean sheet | 38% |
| Rapid Wien II clean sheet | 13% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Admira is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Admira are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Admira vs Rapid Wien II — FAQ
Who will win Admira vs Rapid Wien II?
Our statistical model makes Admira the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Admira 57%, draw 22%, Rapid Wien II 21%.
Will both teams score in Admira vs Rapid Wien II?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Admira vs Rapid Wien II?
Expected goals are 2.01 for Admira and 0.97 for Rapid Wien II — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Admira vs Rapid Wien II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for Admira or draw is 82%.