ADT vs Sport Huancayo Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Peru) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (PERU)
ADT vs Sport Huancayo
Model pick: ADT (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.4 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| ADT | Sport Huancayo |
|---|
| League position | #11 (20 pts) | #17 (16 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*ADT shown at home, Sport Huancayo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
ADT — last 5
LLDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 42% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Sport Huancayo — last 5
WWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | ADT (home) | Sport Huancayo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 42% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 44% |
| Top scorer | Jonatan Bauman (4) | Yorleys Mena (5) |
Primera Division (Peru) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Primera Division (Peru) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.4 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — ADT or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Sport Huancayo or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| ADT clean sheet | 35% |
| Sport Huancayo clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
ADT is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. ADT are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ ADT vs Sport Huancayo — FAQ
Who will win ADT vs Sport Huancayo?
Our statistical model makes ADT the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: ADT 43%, draw 28%, Sport Huancayo 29%.
Will both teams score in ADT vs Sport Huancayo?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in ADT vs Sport Huancayo?
Expected goals are 1.4 for ADT and 1.06 for Sport Huancayo — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in ADT vs Sport Huancayo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for ADT or draw is 72%.