Agama vs Manica Prediction & Preview
Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER SOCCER LEAGUE (ZIMBABWE)
Agama vs Manica
Model pick: Draw (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.71 – 0.31
Total goals: 1.0
Over 2.5: 21%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Agama | Manica |
|---|
| League position | #15 (22 pts) | #17 (19 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 2.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 15% | 8% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.2 / 2.0 |
*Agama shown at home, Manica shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Agama — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Manica — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Agama (home) | Manica (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-6-5 in 13 (0.6 / 0.9 goals per game) | 1-1-11 in 13 (0.3 / 2.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 67% |
Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.9
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 27%
BTTS: 33%
Use these Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.71 vs 0.31):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (36%) |
| Double chance — Agama or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Manica or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 56% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Agama clean sheet | 73% |
| Manica clean sheet | 49% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (79% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Agama vs Manica — FAQ
Who will win Agama vs Manica?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Agama 40%, draw 43%, Manica 17%.
Will both teams score in Agama vs Manica?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Agama vs Manica?
Expected goals are 0.71 for Agama and 0.31 for Manica — about 1.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Agama vs Manica?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (36%). Double chance for Agama or draw is 85%.