Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo
Model pick: Agoncillo (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.71 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Agoncillo | Haro Deportivo |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.4 | 0.2 / 1.6 |
*Agoncillo shown at home, Haro Deportivo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Agoncillo — last 5
LDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Haro Deportivo — last 5
DDLLL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Agoncillo (home) | Haro Deportivo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 44% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.71 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Agoncillo or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Haro Deportivo or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Agoncillo clean sheet | 35% |
| Haro Deportivo clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Agoncillo is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Agoncillo are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo — FAQ
Who will win Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo?
Our statistical model makes Agoncillo the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Agoncillo 50%, draw 25%, Haro Deportivo 25%.
Will both teams score in Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo?
Expected goals are 1.71 for Agoncillo and 1.06 for Haro Deportivo — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Agoncillo or draw is 77%.