Ajax II vs Emmen Prediction & Preview
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) · Aug 17, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EERSTE DIVISIE (NETHERLANDS)
Ajax II vs Emmen
Model pick: Ajax II (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.59 – 1.48
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ajax II | Emmen |
|---|
| League position | #18 (0 pts) | #6 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
*Ajax II shown at home, Emmen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ajax II — last 5
LWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 61% of home games go over 2.5.
Emmen — last 5
LLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ajax II (home) | Emmen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 59% |
| Top scorer | Kayden Wolff (5) | – |
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.14
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.59 vs 1.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Ajax II or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Emmen or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Ajax II clean sheet | 23% |
| Emmen clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ajax II is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Ajax II are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Ajax II vs Emmen — FAQ
Who will win Ajax II vs Emmen?
Our statistical model makes Ajax II the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Ajax II 39%, draw 25%, Emmen 35%.
Will both teams score in Ajax II vs Emmen?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ajax II vs Emmen?
Expected goals are 1.59 for Ajax II and 1.48 for Emmen — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ajax II vs Emmen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Ajax II or draw is 64%.