Ajax vs Sion Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 27, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Ajax vs Sion
Model pick: Ajax (77%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.39 – 1.5
Total goals: 6.9
Over 2.5: 84%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ajax | Sion |
|---|
| League position | #32 (6 pts) | #4 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.2 / 2.2 | 2.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.4 | 3.0 / 2.0 |
*Ajax shown at home, Sion shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ajax — last 5
WWDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 44% of the time; 73% of home games go over 2.5.
Sion — last 5
DWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ajax (home) | Sion (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-4 in 4 (0.2 / 2.2 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 44% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 60% |
| Top scorer | – | Rilind Nivokazi (13) |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.39 vs 1.5):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-1 (6%) |
| Double chance — Ajax or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Sion or draw (X2) | 10% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 94% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Ajax clean sheet | 22% |
| Sion clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ajax is the model's most likely outcome at
77%. Ajax are backed at home, where they average 2.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.9, this shapes as an open game (84% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Ajax vs Sion — FAQ
Who will win Ajax vs Sion?
Our statistical model makes Ajax the most likely result at 77%. Full probabilities: Ajax 77%, draw 14%, Sion 9%.
Will both teams score in Ajax vs Sion?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ajax vs Sion?
Expected goals are 5.39 for Ajax and 1.5 for Sion — about 6.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ajax vs Sion?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-1 (6%). Double chance for Ajax or draw is 96%.