Al Arabi vs Qatar SC Prediction & Preview
Stars League (Qatar) · Sep 10, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
STARS LEAGUE (QATAR)
Al Arabi vs Qatar SC
Model pick: Al Arabi (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.68 – 1.32
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Al Arabi | Qatar SC |
|---|
| League position | #4 (5 pts) | #10 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 2.2 |
*Al Arabi shown at home, Qatar SC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Al Arabi — last 5
WLDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 18% of the time; 69% of home games go over 2.5.
Qatar SC — last 5
WLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Al Arabi (home) | Qatar SC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-1-1 in 2 (1.0 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 18% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 51% |
| Top scorer | Pablo Sarabia (4) | Pedro Joao (9) |
Stars League (Qatar) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Stars League (Qatar) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.68 vs 1.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Al Arabi or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Qatar SC or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Al Arabi clean sheet | 27% |
| Qatar SC clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Al Arabi is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Al Arabi are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Al Arabi vs Qatar SC — FAQ
Who will win Al Arabi vs Qatar SC?
Our statistical model makes Al Arabi the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Al Arabi 44%, draw 25%, Qatar SC 31%.
Will both teams score in Al Arabi vs Qatar SC?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Al Arabi vs Qatar SC?
Expected goals are 1.68 for Al Arabi and 1.32 for Qatar SC — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Al Arabi vs Qatar SC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Al Arabi or draw is 70%.