Al Duhail vs Al Arabi Prediction & Preview
Stars League (Qatar) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
STARS LEAGUE (QATAR)
Al Duhail vs Al Arabi
Model pick: Al Duhail (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.97 – 1.26
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Al Duhail | Al Arabi |
|---|
| League position | #2 (3 pts) | #5 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 3.0 |
*Al Duhail shown at home, Al Arabi shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Al Duhail — last 5
WWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 66% of home games go over 2.5.
Al Arabi — last 5
LLWLD
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Al Duhail (home) | Al Arabi (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 56% |
| Top scorer | Adil Boulbina (6) | Pablo Sarabia (4) |
Stars League (Qatar) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Stars League (Qatar) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.97 vs 1.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Al Duhail or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Al Arabi or draw (X2) | 46% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Al Duhail clean sheet | 28% |
| Al Arabi clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Al Duhail is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Al Duhail are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Al Duhail vs Al Arabi — FAQ
Who will win Al Duhail vs Al Arabi?
Our statistical model makes Al Duhail the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Al Duhail 51%, draw 24%, Al Arabi 26%.
Will both teams score in Al Duhail vs Al Arabi?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Al Duhail vs Al Arabi?
Expected goals are 1.97 for Al Duhail and 1.26 for Al Arabi — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Al Duhail vs Al Arabi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Al Duhail or draw is 76%.