Al Duhail vs Al Shahaniya Prediction & Preview
Stars League (Qatar) · Sep 10, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
STARS LEAGUE (QATAR)
Al Duhail vs Al Shahaniya
Model pick: Al Duhail (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.1 – 0.95
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Al Duhail | Al Shahaniya |
|---|
| League position | #6 (4 pts) | #9 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 2.2 |
*Al Duhail shown at home, Al Shahaniya shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Al Duhail — last 5
WLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
Al Shahaniya — last 5
WLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 12% of the time; 71% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Al Duhail (home) | Al Shahaniya (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (1.5 / 0.5 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (1.5 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 71% |
| Top scorer | Adil Boulbina (6) | Francesco Antonucci (3) |
Stars League (Qatar) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Stars League (Qatar) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.1 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Al Duhail or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — Al Shahaniya or draw (X2) | 36% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Al Duhail clean sheet | 39% |
| Al Shahaniya clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Al Duhail is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Al Duhail are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Al Duhail vs Al Shahaniya — FAQ
Who will win Al Duhail vs Al Shahaniya?
Our statistical model makes Al Duhail the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Al Duhail 59%, draw 22%, Al Shahaniya 18%.
Will both teams score in Al Duhail vs Al Shahaniya?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Al Duhail vs Al Shahaniya?
Expected goals are 2.1 for Al Duhail and 0.95 for Al Shahaniya — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Al Duhail vs Al Shahaniya?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for Al Duhail or draw is 84%.