Al Masry vs Pyramids Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Egypt) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (EGYPT)
Al Masry vs Pyramids
Model pick: Pyramids (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.95 – 1.55
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Al Masry | Pyramids |
|---|
| League position | #5 (32 pts) | #2 (43 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 60% | 60% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.8 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Al Masry shown at home, Pyramids shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Al Masry — last 5
DWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Pyramids — last 5
WDWLW
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Al Masry (home) | Pyramids (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-3-1 in 10 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 6-3-1 in 10 (1.8 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 45% |
| Top scorer | Mounder Temine (4) | – |
Premier League (Egypt) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.26
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Premier League (Egypt) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.95 vs 1.55):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Al Masry or draw (1X) | 49% |
| Double chance — Pyramids or draw (X2) | 77% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Al Masry clean sheet | 21% |
| Pyramids clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pyramids is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Despite playing away, Pyramids edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Al Masry vs Pyramids — FAQ
Who will win Al Masry vs Pyramids?
Our statistical model makes Pyramids the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Al Masry 25%, draw 27%, Pyramids 49%.
Will both teams score in Al Masry vs Pyramids?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Al Masry vs Pyramids?
Expected goals are 0.95 for Al Masry and 1.55 for Pyramids — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Al Masry vs Pyramids?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Double chance for Al Masry or draw is 49%.