Al Qanah vs El Gouna Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Egypt) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (EGYPT)
Al Qanah vs El Gouna
Model pick: Al Qanah (67%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.05 – 0.59
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Al Qanah | El Gouna |
|---|
| League position | #1 (75 pts) | #10 (28 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.9 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 0.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 65% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*Al Qanah shown at home, El Gouna shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Al Qanah — last 5
W
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
El Gouna — last 5
LDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 39% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Al Qanah (home) | El Gouna (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 11-5-1 in 17 (1.9 / 0.8 goals per game) | 5-3-2 in 10 (1.0 / 0.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 39% |
| Top scorer | – | Marwan Mohsen (3) |
Premier League (Egypt) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.26
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Premier League (Egypt) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.05 vs 0.59):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Al Qanah or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — El Gouna or draw (X2) | 28% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Al Qanah clean sheet | 55% |
| El Gouna clean sheet | 13% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Al Qanah is the model's most likely outcome at
67%. Al Qanah are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Al Qanah vs El Gouna — FAQ
Who will win Al Qanah vs El Gouna?
Our statistical model makes Al Qanah the most likely result at 67%. Full probabilities: Al Qanah 67%, draw 21%, El Gouna 12%.
Will both teams score in Al Qanah vs El Gouna?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Al Qanah vs El Gouna?
Expected goals are 2.05 for Al Qanah and 0.59 for El Gouna — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Al Qanah vs El Gouna?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (15%). Double chance for Al Qanah or draw is 90%.