Al Rayyan vs Al Duhail Prediction & Preview
Stars League (Qatar) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
STARS LEAGUE (QATAR)
Al Rayyan vs Al Duhail
Model pick: Al Duhail (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.55
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Al Rayyan | Al Duhail |
|---|
| League position | #2 (6 pts) | #4 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
*Al Rayyan shown at home, Al Duhail shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Al Rayyan — last 5
WDLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Al Duhail — last 5
WLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 35% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Al Rayyan (home) | Al Duhail (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 62% |
| Top scorer | Guedes Roger (9) | Adil Boulbina (6) |
Stars League (Qatar) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Stars League (Qatar) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.38 vs 1.55):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Al Rayyan or draw (1X) | 58% |
| Double chance — Al Duhail or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Al Rayyan clean sheet | 21% |
| Al Duhail clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Al Duhail is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Al Duhail edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Al Rayyan vs Al Duhail — FAQ
Who will win Al Rayyan vs Al Duhail?
Our statistical model makes Al Duhail the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Al Rayyan 34%, draw 26%, Al Duhail 40%.
Will both teams score in Al Rayyan vs Al Duhail?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Al Rayyan vs Al Duhail?
Expected goals are 1.38 for Al Rayyan and 1.55 for Al Duhail — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Al Rayyan vs Al Duhail?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Al Rayyan or draw is 58%.