Albirex Niigata vs Fujieda MYFC Prediction & Preview
J2-League (Japan) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
J2-LEAGUE (JAPAN)
Albirex Niigata vs Fujieda MYFC
Model pick: Albirex Niigata (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.71 – 0.92
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Albirex Niigata | Fujieda MYFC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #5 (30 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.8 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 78% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*Albirex Niigata shown at home, Fujieda MYFC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Albirex Niigata — last 5
DLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Fujieda MYFC — last 5
LLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Albirex Niigata (home) | Fujieda MYFC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 7-0-2 in 9 (1.8 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 54% |
J2-League (Japan) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.48
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 50%
Use these J2-League (Japan) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.71 vs 0.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Albirex Niigata or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Fujieda MYFC or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Albirex Niigata clean sheet | 40% |
| Fujieda MYFC clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Albirex Niigata is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Albirex Niigata are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Albirex Niigata vs Fujieda MYFC — FAQ
Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Fujieda MYFC?
Our statistical model makes Albirex Niigata the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Albirex Niigata 52%, draw 26%, Fujieda MYFC 22%.
Will both teams score in Albirex Niigata vs Fujieda MYFC?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Albirex Niigata vs Fujieda MYFC?
Expected goals are 1.71 for Albirex Niigata and 0.92 for Fujieda MYFC — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Albirex Niigata vs Fujieda MYFC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Albirex Niigata or draw is 80%.